| 80th
Annual General Meeting February 15-16,
2008
Special Address by Mr Montek Singh
Ahluwalia, Dy Chairman, Planning Commission
I want to apologize for this somewhat unusual way of
proceeding because you started with the Prime Minister.
I believe you had everybody else in expert sessions.
Most of what is needed to be said has been said. I was
saying to Suman and couple of friends that in these
matters I am struck by what my friend Larry Summer said
a short while ago somewhere and he said that the only
interesting statements are those about which reasonable
people should be able to disagree. There are too many
statements we make, who is not in favour of inclusive
growth. What I would really like to do is to respond
to question which narrow down our general propositions
into more focus question which would put one on the
maps so to speak. I suggest that we have 10 questions
and then give me the freedom to answer any five. Questions
that are not answered, you can send me an e-mail.
Let me handover to the first questioner.
Question from Mr Suman Singh
We are very happy that 11th plan has allocated much
larger resource for education, agriculture and health.
What is the role that the Planning Commission can play
in the delivery mechanism because all these three subjects
happen to be state subjects as well and is there any
role that we from the private sector in partnership
with the Planning Commission and I am using the word
Planning Commission because we have to find our own
ways of dealing with states. Is there any way that we
can partner with Planning Commission in the delivery
mechanism ?
Question from Rajnikant Marfatia, Surat
I would like to know whether the change in approach
in agro sector can influence the change in the growth
sector and probably is it possible that we can reach
double digit because this sector may not require many
changes in the policy either in the finance sector or
monetary sector. This may call for some execution of
projects indolently and probably it might influence
the course of development drastically.
Question, Crossover Venture, Mumbai
My question is today we applaud China for double digit
growth but it took about almost 15 years since the reforms
were initiated. What kind of reforms have we initiated
so that we can benefit same kind of sustainable growth
for over decade.
Question, from Dr Shanbagh,
In the 70s, we had priority sector and that was all
about inclusive growth, if I may put it that way and
there were 4% loans for the priority sector. Why is
it not possible to do the same for education and make
it inclusive instead of having quotas and all those
works which really are obsolete mechanisms?
Question from Mr Arvinder Brar, Mantec Consultants
I would like to draw your attention to the export sector.
As you know dollar/ rupee issue is concerning the export
sector and I must say that I don't know what role the
Planning Commission can play to rein in the Finance
Ministry because it is not only the question of levying
things like minimum alternative tax and service tax
on export but it is not only about money but it is also
about the procedure being so time consuming and such
a lot of harassment, for example, in the export sector
it says that you will be refunded the service tax. That
is just on paper because you can never get refund. I
would like the Planning Commission to see how you can
bring in the practicality into this and also how to
really support the export sector because this is very
important for the country.
Question
License permit raj is still choking the education sector.
We can be one of the finest education centers in the
world. Instead of spending $3 billion on outsource we
can earn $3 billion. How do you free them so that we
can create best institutions in the world ?
Mr Mohan, EC Infosystem
Currently the energy markets in the country are closed.
Does the government plan on opening the markets for
competition?
Question
How can the concept of public private partnership be
implemented in the rural development areas?
Question
What is the role that Planning Commission is viewing
towards the IT sector in translating this double digit
growth towards the common man ?
Question, Business Standard
The government has estimated 8% growth for the current
financial year and IMF has forecast 8.2% growth next
year but the Planning Commission has targeted 9% growth
throughout the 11th plan with terminating year growth
of 10%. Where dos the target stand now when the economy
is going downward ?
Mr Y K Modi
We all realize that infrastructure is the great bottleneck
coming in the way of faster growth, specially in manufacturing.
I would suggest that if a case study be done by Planning
Commission that how Metro in Delhi is able to deliver
on time, on cost and in the morning our President was
saying that Rs.48,000 crores has been the overrun and
many many years on many many infrastructure projects
specially roads and ports and bridges etc in India.
So it is not that it cannot be done. Delhi Metro has
shown that it can be done. Why can't that model be followed
in other infrastructure projects?
Mr Harsh Pati Singhania
Very simple question we are talking about double digit
growth and I didn't hear anybody articulate about this
whole issue of relatively high interest rate that we
are going through and interest arbitrage between rupee
funds and the foreign funds, could that take us away
from keeping the double digit growth ?
Mr Rajiv Ranjan Roy, Indo Asian News Service
I am from a village from one of the north-eastern states
of the country. I just want to know how long the people
on the margins will have to wait to taste the flavour
of economic boom and double digit growth and all these
good things we have been talking about ever since the
economy was liberalized.
Dr Ahluwalia
Some of the questions are very focused, so let me indicate
the ones that I don't feel belong to this particular
session. The practical problems of service tax and so
on or I can tell you the Planning Commission does not
get involved in this at all. So this is something you
have to take up with the Finance Ministry. So with your
permission I won't address that particular question.
The other question. I see a number of themes that have
come out, there is infrastructure failure issue. The
agro sector, the emphasis that we are giving to the
agro sector has come up as an issue, the role of education
has come up as an issue. Many issues can be grouped
under these categories plus, of course, the whole question
of sustainability of growth in the light of different
projections that have been made, policy constraints
etc. So I just respond to them not in the order in which
they appeared but in an order where I am reorganizing
the question.
One question that I am often asked by the press which
says you said 9%, yesterday Finance Minster said something
else, day after tomorrow the IMF says something else,
what's all going on? Let me be very clear about it.
The Planning Commission's 11th plan target is an average
of 9% growth for the five year period beginning this
year and ending 2011-12. To my knowledge, nothing has
been said about growth in the current year and next
year takes them outside the range of consistency with
9%. I accept the estimate of growth in the current year
which is after all given by the CSO of 8.7%, we ourselves
have thought that it would be near 8.5% but in the last
few months, I have been consistently saying between
8.5 and 9 and I am very happy if it turns out to be
8.7%. I do think that people often tell me that the
economy is slowing because in the previous year it was
9.6 %. Yes it is lower than in 2006-07. I don't think
we should be too concerned about whether it is more
than 8.7 next year. The IMF has said 8.2 for the next
year. The IMF links what happens to the global economy
with what happens in the domestic economies and I think
there has been a lot of talk about decoupling, coupling
etc. Some people tend to argue that we are not really
affected by what happens in the world's economy. I don't
share that view at all in the sense that it is utterly
illogical to say that we are well positioned to benefit
from global growth but we are completely insulated from
global downturn. It just does not make any sense. Quite
frankly, if the global economy slows down we should
expect the Indian economy to slow down. The difference
is that industrialized countries are used to be growing
at 3%, they might grow slower, we are growing much faster
so we will also slow down but that does not mean that
we are going to recession or to very low growth. I have
seen lot of estimates down in the IMF and their view
is that if the global economy slows down or the industrialized
country slows down by 1%age point of GDP, then emerging
market economies, depending upon where they are would
slow down between 0.5 to 1% for every 1% knocked off
the industrialized country. I think that is not unreasonable
estimate. My own feeling is that India would be at the
lower end of that range but this does mean that if you
want to knock 1% the industrialized country, I think
we should be willing to knock something little above
0.5% of our growth rate. I don't believe there is any
macho advantage in asserting that even if you slow down,
we are going to ramp up. We can always push an economy.
These are questions about what are equilibrium growth
rate. Basically, the important thing is that if we are
on 8.75% now, then even if there is significant slow
down for a year in industrialized country, India could
still be growing at 8% or little above 8%.
Whether we can grow at 9% as we have targeted depends
upon what happens to the global economy in the next
4 years. To my knowledge, IMF has made no projection
beyond this year and next year. So, if there is a bit
of slow down for one year and then the economies pick
up then we should expect to see similar movement here.
I don't se 9% target of the Planning Commission is at
all altered. That is not to say we have declared some
kind of high growth self sufficiency. We are part of
an integrated global economy and the future of the global
economy is going to impact on India's future. We are
all interconnected. So that is my answer to that question
and link to that is the issue of interest rate. This
is not something that the Planning Commission goes into
a great length. I would say it is general characteristic
of a well managed economy that is ought to be able to
cost along at relatively modest interest rate. It is
more difficult to imagine growth rate at very high interest
rates. It is obviously easier to imagine growth stimulus
if the interest rate in real terms is modest. But, at
the same time, macro economic management requires variation
around this, some basic median or optimum level and,
therefore, in the short run, it is not unusual for interest
rates to go up or to be high, they could be lowered
by conscious act of policy. I know that in the market
there is a great feeling that our interest rate, again
here all the very same people who want to assert that
we are completely decoupled from the global economy,
often want to know why we are not coupled to bank interest
rate. I can understand you use whatever argument you
can. It is a legitimate issue that if the world slows
down you would expect that the normal signal would be
to moderate interest rates to counter that slowing down
but this is very early in the day and the Reserve Bank
has to look at multiplicity of factors. I am not explaining
what they have done but I don't envisage that the 9%
growth which is a medium term forecast is not being
sort of projected on the assumption of consistent and
sustained high interest rates. It is also important
to remember that short term interest rates are very
different from long term interest rates and it is quite
possible to jack up short term interest rates not affecting
long term interest rates too much, lower short term
interest rates not affecting long term interest rates
too much. So from the point of view of growth prospects
of the economy, what matters is not the overnight rate,
what matters is what is happening to the longer term
interest rate in the system. I don't think that one
should judge from anything that you see in the last
week or next week a signal about the long term interest
rate. From my point of view, much more important than
the interest rate is the development of healthy financial
system which will be able to sustain the volume of financing
needed and at the moment the constraints on providing
finance for lot of infrastructure are not just high
interest rate. There are issues whether the markets
are deep enough, it is well known that in India we have
huge treasury market in fixed income but not that good
market for corporate bonds. If you are really talking
about the economic growth, specially if you are talking
about the economic growth in a period when profits begin
to slow down, then you need to have deep and liquid
bond markets where companies that are moving away from
raising capital from the equity market to take advantage
of leveraging possibilities and that is really not something
we should judge by looking at what is happening at the
interest rate, that requires judgment about whether
the financial sector is developing and getting reformed
and moving forward at the pace that we wanted to. Obviously
in every area, things never move at the pace that we
wanted to, otherwise we would have taken 15-16 years
to do the reforms at the pace we did. We are highly
pluralistic of what Amratya Sen called 'an argumentative
society' and so everybody has got to have time to make
their own arguments. So the pace of change has been
slow in this country but I do believe that on the financial
sector, there is a clear sense of the direction that
we want to go and that will be brought about but I think
the development of bond markets is priority area and
it deserves high level attention. It is getting attention
from the government. It is not by the way something
which is just held up because some little policy change
is politically controversial, I want to emphasize that.
This is really a matter of lot of institutional development
in the financial system and it is not going to happen
overnight but I think we should be very clear that that
is the direction that we wanted to go. The Planning
Commission in consultation with the Finance ministry
has set up a high level committee under Dr Raghuram
Rajan, Professor in the Graduate School of Business
Chicago, to give us roadmap of what should happen in
the financial sector and this committee has been at
work for last 6-8 months and they will submit a report
in few months time. One of the interesting things about
this report, as a conscious decision, that it does not
include any public servant. Nobody from the Finance
Ministry and no body from the Planning Commission except
the convener to do the administrative staff. Raghuram
Rajan has been asked to chair a committee which includes
only private financial people and academic, some people
from the IIM, some from the financial sector. The idea
was that they should present road map for the next 10
years. It is not an immediate agenda issue. I told Raghu
that we don't want your report before the budget because
this is not a quick fix kind of thing. Take your time
and produce a report that can be debated in next 6-7
months and then over a longer period we can work out
what needs to be done. That is very important area but
we need to be patient and we need to build certain amount
of consensus in how to move forward. On the growth side,
those are my basic responses, nothing that I see including
the slowing down this year. Frankly as someone who grew
up when we kept defending the growth rate of 3.5% has
not unreasonably given Indian circumstances, it is very
difficult for me in a single sentence to say we have
slowed down to 8.7. I think in this respect China's
extraordinary growth rate for which it deserves the
applause of everybody, is seriously distorting perspectives.
The fact of the matter is only a handful of countries
that have achieved high growth and most of them have
really done 8-9% over sustained period, these 10-11%
growth rates are really very very rare. So basically
I think the economy is on a reasonably strong trajectory
and I am assuming as long as the world does not collapse
and I think it won't collapse, we will overcome whatever
short term blips there are in the system.
Let me now turn to the issue of agriculture. I think
someone said agriculture sector is important and the
changes that it requires are not very difficult. At
least that is how I read the question. I do want to
say that agriculture strategy is very critical for the
government strategy of inclusive growth. If this is
also response to the question raised at the very end
by the last questioner, how long do you have to wait
for all the benefits of growth to be evident to everybody?
It is one of the clear structural weaknesses of the
last 7-8 years that agriculture slowed down after 1996.
This analysis is laid out in the 11th plan document
but you will forgive me, it is bit self indulgent, but
if I repeat it in case for those of you who haven't
carefully read the document from beginning to end of
its 1000 page, the fact is agriculture grew at about
3.6% between 1980-96, thereafter it went to 2% and below.
In the last 3 years, it has picked up and actually as
it turns out, the average growth of agriculture in the
3 years including the current year is actually 4% though
we don't want to claim that these 3 years represent
the change of trend but it is nice that 3 years are
certainly better and it might suggest that something
is changing. I don't agree with a view that what is
needed in agriculture is somehow without controversy.
Actually it is very very difficult and the main thing
is very complex. In the late 60s and early 70s when
the government picked on the Green Revolution, that
was a major change and it was not a single point change
but it was single objective of new strategy. The wheat
seeds allowed 200% or 300% times increase in yield with
a little bit of support in terms of water and fertilizer
and there was part of the country which was well suited
to, so we never tried to have Green Revolution for the
whole country. We are happy to say food is very important,
Punjab, Haryana, later on western UP, let's concentrate
everything there and it worked and farmers took to it
and so on.
The present situation is different, I don't think we
have comparable quick fix solution of a particular crop
in a particular type of seed. What we do have is knowledge
that the difference between the yields that people are
getting on the farm and the yields they can get with
the existing technology but providing the farm management
practices are optimized, what is called precision farming
these days. There can be 100% of this. To do that you
need lot of inputs, lot of knowledge, lot of access
to timely input, you need right kind of seed, you need
the ability to deal with pests as and when they arise,
you need marketing. There is big difference between
marketing wheat and marketing bell peppers or marketing
mushroom or whatever because these things require the
demand they make on the logistics chain or cold chains.
Farmer's knowing exactly what people want to sell in
the retail is much greater than when you are dealing
with cereals. So it requires a change on the field,
it requires transfer of technology to farmers, it requires
focus on multiple products. Our assessment is that demand
for food grain is not likely to grow by more than 2.5%
per year in foreseeable future. That is not easy because
for the last several years, food grains use has been
stagnant and we are trying to address that issue through
this food security mission. Even if we were to get 2.5%
growth in food grain, we won't get 4% growth in agriculture,
unless we get 6-8% growth in non food grain agriculture
which means horticulture, livestock, dairy, poultry,
fisheries and every one of these involves perishable
and every one of these involves very different approach,
marketing approach and actually the controversy there
is that this will involve very active involvement in
the private sector. It is not going to happen if there
is not active involvement. The moment you say an active
involvement of the private sector, it does raise fears
on part of many people and I spend lot of time when
I meet state governments trying to persuade them that
we are not actually talking about corporate farming
which is at present no-no in the sense that the system
would not allow corporations to go and buy large amount
of land and introduce modern farming but the system
should allow corporations to go in for contract farming
and arrangement with farmers who remain owners of their
own land but produce to preset requirement. There are
many egal changes that are necessary including Agriculture
Produce Marketing Committee Act and in the last 3 years
several state governments have amended these acts but
interestingly but the effectiveness of the amendment
depends upon whether the rules are notified and there
are many states that have amended the act but the rules
have yet to be notified. This is an example of why things
don't change just because somebody announces that the
reforms have been done, it takes a bit longer but I
am persuaded that changes actually underway and that
means you saw the controversies that grew up in connection
with the modern retail into the country. I think government
quite rightly held back the issue of foreign investment
in retail because that is the subsidiary issue. First
issue is do we want modern retail or not and quite interestingly
when the issue of modern retail came up, we have all
the usual concerns articulated, expressed fear of loss
of job, what is going to happen to existing traders
etc etc. These are issues that will take little time
to get resolved but we need to resolve all these issues
together and underneath at all the most important issue
really relates to the management of water. All the inputs
you can think of, the most important input in agriculture
is water and we are in extraordinary situation where
we have irrigation, we are misusing it and we don't
have irrigation, we are not investing enough in water
conservation and watershed management. That is a very
very big role and it is a public sector role and I think
the Planning Commission is trying to persuade the government
that we need to not only put in resources or we need
to put them in a manner which is technically well informed.
That is not very easy to do and it requires action on
the ground level, it requires building up of capacity
at the ground level, it requires cooperation of people
at the ground level and so on.
Somebody asked a question what can Planning Commission
do to implement at the ground level and the honest truth
is these are subjects, rather responsibility of the
states. So technically the one thing that the Central
Government can do which it does is to write the cheques/
give the money. Many state governments feel that in
the interest of federalism that is all we should do
because after all they are sovereign government and
they are responsible, they are elected etc, so why are
you sitting there imposing all kind of conditionality.
There are two views on this and I think the political
consensus at the moment is not in favour of central
government simply writing cheques and handing them out,
there is some sort of expectation that we should make
sure that schemes are somehow reasonably designed. The
problem with that is when we over design a scheme, the
complaint is you got parameters which don't make sense
in the individual local area and that creates lot of
problem. One good example is the National Rural Employment
Guarantee Programme where the programme is focused hugely
on people working largely movement of earth to improve
land productivity and is meant to be a very local scheme
and you can't use more than 40% of expenditure on non
wages and you can't use contractors. I find occasionally
the state governments tell me that in certain areas
which are extremely rocky, it is simply not possible
to have effective employment programme within those
constraints. There are other examples that one can think
of. In one of the new programmes we have launched for
agriculture which is the RKVY- Rashtriya Krishi Vikas
Yojna - that explicitly recognizes that the central
government should not be laying down guidelines. What
it says is that what needs to be done for each state
to achieve what its expectation is within 4% growth
target what needs to be done is very state specific
and crop specific and not every state is going to be
producing wheat and rice and so on, so we are encouraging
the states to evolve, define, develop district plans
that would lay down what you are going to do in each
district, given its particular circumstances and given
its particular resource constraints what do we need
to do for agriculture to do well and that is done at
the district level. Based on agricultural plan evolved
out of that kind of decentralized planning what we have
said is that as long as state government maintains its
expenditure based on base line of last 3 years, maintains
its expenditure in agriculture, we will take up a large
share of the increment in order to achieve the district
plan they are talking about. This involves some evaluation
of the district plan. So there is some mechanism where
with each state you sit down, you bring in whatever
experts you have, the National Rainfed Area Authority
etc., look at their state plan, come to a conclusion
is reasonable, check whether the state is actually spending
at least the same amount of money that they were doing
in the recent past and then top that up with central
assistance. Central assistance could be for very different
thing for state to state. The specific content that
is being assisted is being evolved at the state level.
Actually it is quite complicated and I just hope that
with this renewed focus, we will, in fact, get to a
situation where a lot of good state level design plans
will get around to being implemented and these state
level design plans have to be based on recognition that
agriculture has to diversify, it is not just food grains
issue and that has to be taken within frame work in
which marketing and private sector linkages become important.
So, quite frankly, the private sector could play a very
useful role in interacting with state governments and
helping them to design schemes that the private sector
likes. I don't see any reason why FICCI or any other
industry association shouldn't actually evolve state
specific wish list and say look, in your case this is
what we think we should do and engage in a dialogue
with them. There is a role really and this, to some
extent, addresses the issue what can private sector
do for rural development because I think the transformation
of agricultural growth to 4% growth target will depend
on private sector initiative at the farm level, obviously
supported by government's effort in terms of infrastructure
development and also supported by private sector efforts
in the linkage between the farmer and the market. There
is lot of scope there. Of course, private partnership
also includes CSO - Civil Society Organization, NGOs
etc. the government is giving strong positive signal
about the importance of these institutions and the potential
role they can play. The only difference is we can't
fund NGOs. The message we are going to give is we are
going to fund local authorities. We are finding ways
of putting initiatives in the hands of district panchayat,
block panchayat and so on and we are asking them to
formulate plans which will have to be evaluated. In
other words, this creates demand for CSO that want to
work at that level to help formulate these plans or
to monitor them or any of these things. In my view,
one of the biggest contribution that NGOs and voluntary
sector makes in getting involved in this ground level
activities, is they are able to attract some of the
brightest of our younger people.
The result of this, and I have seen this on the ground,
that the quality of the human resource input that you
attract in this manner is quite different from what
can be attracted by the public employment at that level.
I mean you would be creating an environment in which
public functionaries at lower level will be interacting
with people who actually represent very highly skilled
labour and human resources and so forth. The impact
that this can have in improving quality etc and even
in enthusing people that this is very important, can
be very great. I have seen endless examples of that
whether people running schools, people running health
clinics and so forth, I think from the public point
of view the demonstration that in a rural area it is
possible to run very very good school or health clinic
with modest resources. In the 11th plan we have quoted
whole box devoted to the work of Abhay and Rani Bhang
in Gachroli District of Maharashtra, very backward district
and they have been working effectively in the health
area running a clinic, hiring local people to act like
what we call Ushers in the public sector system. The
results are dramatic. Infant mortality rate dropped
to half. These are results that are not coming up in
the public sector side of the system and yet the public
sector is spending huge amount of money, no CSO operation
by itself, with no matter how much corporatd support
can compete with the scale of public sector resource
flows. Their real role is to demonstrate if things are
well managed, with some motivation the resources being
made available are capable of producing huge results
and that should be multiplied and people keep talking
of corporate social responsibility. Quite frankly, I
think any time the corporate sector support such activity
is doing huge favour to the rest of the system and they
should publicize it and they should be proud of it and
I think the other advantage is that when you get this
sort of involvement, even the newspapers turn up in
order to report the story. Otherwise if you have good
public sector clinic which is doing good job, nobody
bothers to report it. So we need a lot more of this
kind of activity and these are very small things in
manner of speaking but when I have seen the difference
between dead in the water kind of public sector outfit
which just is not doing anything and very active, well
run outfit, some of them are just well run in the public
sector, many are well run because there is lot of CSO
involvement, that can make a very big difference. So
that is another set of question that we have.
There were questions on education and issue of quota,
loans, licence permit raj. We recognize that education
is hugely important and we are reflecting that at the
first stage of planning process is you put your money
where your mouth is. It is very easy to write the literature
and not give more money you cannot accuse us of doing
that. We are putting lot of money into education but
share the view of everybody and we said that in the
plan providing the money alone will not achieve the
end results. It is not just implementation. In the case
of education we need to consider what is the central
reform needed in the system that would make it perform
better. In primary education it is true, in secondary
education it is true and even more true in higher education.
In the higher education area particularly, if we are
going to grow at 9% and achieve whatever our friends
and well wishers abroad keep tangling before us as a
possible goal, lot of reports says by 2030 something,
India would be the third largest GDP in the world and
so forth but it is quite clear to me that it is not
going to happen unless at the higher education skill
development level we see a sea change. The truth is
we were lucky that we started out in the higher education
level with very good endowment and in a way like the
Chinese on physical infrastructure we build the education
infrastructure in advance when we needed and for a long
period these guys just immigrated. Over time it looked
as if the supply is pretty good when we were growing
at 5% - 6% and the moment the economy accelerated to
8- 8.5% touching on 9, it is very clear that skill constraints
are beginning to bite.
It is also true that when we are moving into global
economy where basically our own human resources are
being globalised, they can be hired out to whoever,
it is out there in the market who is looking for talent,
we better have lot of these resources around otherwise
we are competing top level resources, we are competing
with everybody in the world. Mere fact that they are
Indian give you some advantage but not an overwhelming
advantage if you can't actually retain them and the
present position is that we need a huge expansion in
the educational system but we also need huge increase
in quality. This goes two ways - quality side of it,
the National Knowledge Commission has said a lot, there
is lot of wisdom what they have said. We in the 11th
plan have said similar things. The bottom line of which
is that we need to reform the existing system. So I
agree with the view that there is too much license quota
raj in education, it is not going to be easy to overcome
resistance. Le'ts be clear. We have been talking about
license quota raj in industry for 20 years before we
actually got about changing it, so don't think just
because somebody writes a report he is going to change,
there is similar battle to be fought over time. The
real problem is that there is too much complacency that
look if we produce the IITs and IIMs what is the problem?
Let's just replicate them. The real problem is if you
try to replicate the IITs and IIMs you won't get the
IITs and IIMs because it is a fact that IITs and IIMs
are not able to recruit new staff because of the fact
that wage differential has now become so large that
it is very difficult for them to do this. How do we
handle this problem? A short answer is we are working
on it. We really need couple of years of people saying
unthinkable things and there are many unthinkable things,
for example, can you have world class university without
having global teaching. Should we be planning on university
that has global teachers. If all our big hotels are
managed by foreign managers, should not there be some
foreign faculty in Indian university to make it look
and feel global. That is a big issue and if you want
to do that what are the changes you have to make are
really difficult issues to address. Let me come to specific
question you raised about quotas and so on. I am totally
in favour of switching to scholarship cum loan basis
and as a matter of fact in the 11th plan we have said
that rather than funding the university, we should find
the students. After all what is happening today is you
are funding universities and they bring in students
and charge them virtually nothing and there is no way
of determining whether university is doing good job
or not. Whereas if we would give the same money to the
student and let him/her choose the university, there
would be an element of competition as to where they
would go. This can be done very easily by simply saying
that let's say we decide that at a base level, for an
ordinary degree, not one that is very professionally
oriented, may be the fees should be 12000/- a year,
for people who don't deserve the scholarship and this
can be combined with scholarships so that if somebody
comes from lower income group and needs money, give
him 100% scholarship. Anything above the base level
should be borrowed by from the banks and we have said
that we should consider a National Student Loan Guarantee
Corporation that should underwrite these loans. So banks
don't have to ask for collateral or any of these things.
My view on this is by the way, we are talking now about
loans to fund professional courses. In the years ahead,
it will no be very likely that a person getting such
a degree and having a good job is going to default or
national student loan corporation would give loan when
he actually has job. If he does it he won't get a credit
card and the truth of the matter is the desire to protect
credit history will ensure that only those who really
can't afford to pay will actually not pay and that is
fine, that should be written off. I will go further
and say if somebody takes a loan and becomes teacher,
after 4 years write off the loan, if somebody goes to
hospital in an urban area, write it off after 4 years
and if he goes in rural areas, write it off after 2
years.
There are any number of things we can do. But the core
assumption here is do this and raise the fees and there
is no point in doing this if you are not raising the
fees. This is a huge problem. I suggested this in a
national meeting of Vice Chancellors that had been called
in Delhi. After I left they all passed a resolution
saying this is completely unrealistic. Don't think that
the universities don't want to do it either. I visited
China and talked to some of the universities there,
briefed our own people on what is going on. The Chinese
are much more practical and are taking bold steps to
upgrade their university system, they have increased
fees in university four folds. In last 3-4 years, they
have introduced mechanisms where Chinese teaching in
universities abroad are encouraged to come back for
short period, teach in Chinese universities and the
globalization in that sense of Chinese faculty is really
impressive. This needs to be known more and message
needs to be spread out more. In the 11th plan, we have
recommended that the present regulatory system of the
UGC as well as the All India Council for Technical Education
needs to be reviewed. I hope that we will set up formal
mechanism to review that and during that process, if
industry groups are interested in pushing forward specific
proposals, they should work on these things so that
there are actual suggestions made which can be discussed.
I should mention in the context of public private partnership
in education that the government has announced that
we will have model schools, apart from the higher education
business where we have said we want public private partnership
in university, so I would invite FICCI to make proposals
what are the kind of public private partnership that
you want to fund and support in Indian universities.
The existing rules allow quite a lot, more than people
think. We have given a clear signal that universities
should look actively for this and I think if industries
were keen to push for these ideas, you may find receptive
audience. In the case of schools we have said, there
would be one modern school in each block, 6000 blocks
in the country have one modern school, half of those
will just be the centers helping the states to set up
public sector school or upgrade an existing public sector
school but the other 3000 should be public private partnership.
So I would really encourage FICCI to come up with its
own programme that this is what it believes it is willing
to do and offer to the central government that since
industry is willing to do XYZ, this is the model that
we should follow, we are currently working on what exactly
would be the form of public private partnership that
we would be willing to encourage. This is another area
where very specific proposal could be made. Part of
the problem on public private partnership is it is not
clear how much participation in decision making is the
private sector interested in, in order to participate.
If you say 100% then it is unlikely to be accepted but
I don't think the government should say zero. I put
your money on the table and will see you next year.
It should be something in between and for that we need
to work out exact models.
These are some of the areas which are on the table
and we are trying to work out what we can do. I am sure
I have missed many things for which I apologize and
invite you to send me an e-mail if you like to pursue
the matter.
Thank you.
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