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Special Session with Shri
Mukesh Ambani "India as An Economic Super Power
in 20 Years"
December 13, 2002 New Delhi
Vision Statement by Mr Mukesh Ambani,
Chairman and Managing Director, Reliance Industries
Limited
Dear Friends,
It is a great honour to be here this afternoon, to
address this pre-eminent gathering of Indian leaders
from a wide spectrum of fields such as Politics, Economy,
Business and Society.
FICCI represents a great nationalist tradition.
It symbolizes an inspiring partnership forged during
the struggle for India's independence; an unprecedented
partnership between great leaders of India's people
and towering stalwarts of India's business community.
I regard it a privilege to speak from this venerable
platform.
Thank you Shri Rajendra Lodha, for giving me this opportunity.
The theme, 'Unleashing India's Potential,' is an unequivocal
expression of faith in India's resurgence on the global
arena.
By focusing on it, FICCI has triggered a strong sense
of patriotic fervour in our minds.
When I was a child, my father. Shri Dhirubhai Ambani,
would tell me stories about the legendary leaders of
his time, like Mahatma Gandhi and Sardar Vallabhbhai
Patel.
I also came to know about their relationship with the
business leaders of that era, like Kasturbhai Lalbhai,
Shri Ghanshyamdas Birla and others.
It is really amazing how Mahatma Gandhi forged an incredible
bond among all sections of our people - bringing together
the landless farmers of Champaran, the textile workers
of Kanpur and Ahmedabad and the business leaders of
Bombay.
He wove their aspirations in a common purpose.
And it is this historic unity that won India its independence
from the mighty British Raj.
Leaders of India's freedom struggle were giants among
intellectuals. They included eminent lawyers, grant
scientists, famous doctors and well- known professionals.
The leaders of Indian business and industry were outstanding
pioneers.
Both these streams pooled their resources for securing
India a place of pride in the world.
They launched us on a great journey of renewal and
renaissance.
I believe that journey is not yet over.
India's political, intellectual and business leadership
must work together to reach the goal - to win for India
a place commensurate with the latent potential of her
people.
This is why I find today's theme highly inspiring.
Over the last seventy-five years, FICCI has shown the
way as the torchbearer of Indian enterprise.
;
Today, FICCI and all Indian enterprises have a new clarion
call - of taking India to the summit of global economic
leadership.
As I share my thoughts with you. I will endeavor, in
my humble way, to respond to this new clarion call.
On the surface, my address is a quest.
On a more profound level, my address is a dream.
lt reflects an irrepressible ambition: to take Indian
enterprise to the top of the global ladder.
I am sure that many of you share a similar aspiration.
One sixth of humanity lives in India.
In this age of rising aspirations and instant communication,
there can be no peace if a billion people are discontented,
deprived, unhappy and therefore, angry.
Consequently, I want India to become an economic super
power not only for her own sake, but also for the benefit
of the whole world.
Unleashing India's potential is no doubt in our interest.
But it is equally in the interest of the whole world.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
We can realize the vast untapped potential of our people
if we clearly identify the decisive parameters of what
we want to achieve.
In my view, Globalization, technology and demography
are altering strategic international balances.
Services of large segments of the working population
can now be easily substituted across national boundaries.
There is a widening chasm between those who have the
skills and mobility to flourish in global markets and
those who do not have these advantages.
Globalization insists on efficiency and promotes specialization.
It is ruthless in its demands. But it is equally generous
in its rewards.
Technology has become the most important driver of
economic growth and development.
Technologies that promote efficiency and specialization
are primarily in the domains of information, communications,
automation, robotics, biotechnology and advanced materials.
At one level, technology, particularly biotechnology
and infocomm, promise to spectacularly change life,
living and living systems.
At another level, technology is creating new vistas
of knowledge and avenues for economic output.
But these technologies are the privilege of a few countries,
such as the US, UK, Germany and Japan.
An aging population is slowly weighing down the US,
Europe and Japan.
Today, one fifth of the American population is above
the age of 60. In 25 years time, this number will increase
to a quarter of the US population.
Germany is worse off. Roughly, a quarter of the Germans
are now old.
In 25 years, a third of them will be old. The case
of Japan is very similar to that of Germany.
While the world is getting older, India will continue
to be young.
Economic power is central to achieving prosperity in
such a world.
Economic power enables public investments in infrastructure
to support physical competitiveness.
It fuels investments in education, health care and
research to promote intellectual competitiveness.
Economic power helps attract global savings.
It is also important for acquiring the diplomatic and
military profile of a major power.
Therefore, aiming to be a global economic superpower
is not a game of one-up-manship for India.
It is an imperative, a necessity for ensuring stability,
progress and prosperity in a rapidly changing strategic
global landscape,
IMPERATIVES
What should India do to reach this goal?
1. Work out a feasible strategy for a high rate of
growth
2. Harness global opportunities in important economic
sectors
3. Manage Key economic resources efficiently
4. Invest in important enablers of economic performance
5. Access the global savings pool
6. Create a new world mindset
With your permission, let me address each of these
imperatives.
TARGETING TOP LINE GDP
India's GDP, of 500 billion US dollars, is a very small
fraction of the global GDP of about 34 trillion US dollars.
Given a population denominator of 1 billion people
the per capita income works out to 490 US dollars.]
This is only about a tenth of the world's average per
capita income.
It is also only one fiftieth of the per capita income
of the developed world.
If India has to attain global economic leadership,
growth rates have to accelerate significantly to double
digits - from about 5 to 6% now to about 15% per annum,
year on year, for about twenty years.
This will raise the GDP to about 9 trillion US dollars
and bring our per capita income closer to the world
averages.
I am aware of the recent debate on India's growth rate.
I Know that experts have dismissed targets of a high
growth rate as unrealistic.
I would like to submit, humbly but forcefully, that
the dismal prognosis of growth rates flows from incremental
thinking.
We must break free from the mould of thinking about
growth in an incremental manner. It limits our capacity
to conceptualise growth and progress on a large, 'beat
the world' format.
New physics has put classical physics on the shelf.
Quantum mechanics has relegated old ways of thinking
on the back burner.
We need similar transformation in economic thinking.
The knowledge era has shattered all our conventional
reference points.
It has made past precedents irrelevant. Individuals,
communities and societies now have the opportunity to
accelerate their growth dramatically.
They can create entirely new and large opportunities
for advancement.
The Indian intellect must break free from an evolutionary
mindset.
It must conceptualise initiatives in all spheres in
a revolutionary manner.
To recall my father's strongest belief: We must dare
to dream. And dare to dream big.
We must have the determination and the courage to ensure
that India can achieve a sustainable income of 9 trillion
US dollars in twenty years.
This should be our overarching goal.
Some would regard my proposition as over ambitious
and far-fetched.
It is not surprising. Brave words, some others would
say. Show me how we can translate this into action,
you may ask.
As my response to this question, let me present concrete
examples of opportunities that are available in the
different sectors for achieving our goals.
HARNESSING GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES
Food and Agriculture
Let me begin with food and agriculture.
It is important because of several reasons.
The most important reason is that, no development strategy
will work in democratic India unless the farmers support
it
India has about 13 percent of the world's arable land,
receives 4% of the world's annual fresh water supply
through rainfall each year, is blessed with twelve major
river basins, enjoys good sunshine, has a wide range
of agro climatic conditions ard has a large number of
scientific and technological resources devoted to this
sector.
But Indian agriculture is still languishing in the
low end of the agronomy value chain.
It is a victim of the low-investment, low-yield, water-inefficient
model of farming, India has an output of only about
125 billion US dollars in agriculture.
This situation must change.
India must target 2 trillion US dollars in food and
agricultural output in twenty years. Again, skeptics
may disagree with this number.
But I believe an output of this magnitude is feasible.
It can be achieved by expanding the volume of food
production and productivity.
This will require the use of modem farming methods
and plant biotechnology, diversifying the crop mix away
from rice and wheat and moving up the value chain into
food processing.
Israel's food and agricultural output, valued at 4
billion US dollars, is produced on just one million
acres of very arid land.
India has 400 million acres of irrigated land and 75
million acres of wasteland at its disposal.
Why can't India improve its productivity thirteen times
to produce 1,900 billion US dollars of output. I refuse
to accept that the Indian farmer is deficient in any
way, when compared to others.
In fact, he is very hard working.
Also, he has convincingly demonstrated the ability
to adopt and practice modem farming technologies.
At times, I wonder that if the Middle East can be the
energy base for the world, why cant India be the
food base for the world?
If the Middle East can make value added petrochemicals
from hydrocarbons for the global markets, why can't
India produce value added food, medicinal plants, aromatic
oils and biomaterials for the global markets?
Of course, realizing this vision calls for several
radical initiatives.
These include, reforming agricultural landholding laws,
instituting a market-based procurement price system
and allowing the barrier-free movement of food produce
across India and to the world
Simultaneously, we must safeguard the interests of
Indian farmers and give them a level playing field.
Therefore, we must lobby for the removal of huge subsidies
provided to agriculture in the US and Europe and for
unrestricted integration of our produce with retail
markets in the world.
We must promote plant metabolic engineering research,
privatize the irrigation sector, build rural roads on
an unprecedented scale and on a priority basis, and
create a national cold chain infrastructure.
In essence, India has to transform its agriculture
into a productive enterprise to propel itself into becoming
a global economic power.
This alone will change the fortunes of our farmers.
This requires a united endeavour by farmers, scientists
and businessmen in the same spirit as farmers, lawyers
and industrialists joined together to win India's freedom.
Manufacturing
The second sector is manufacturing.
India is richly endowed with natural resources and
human capital.
There is a significant opportunity for consolidating
these advantages initially and later progressing to
value added products.
Our base level industries such as textiles, clothing,
metalworking and consumer products, require minimum
skills. This is globally a 700 billion US dollars segment
Industries such as office machines as well as electrical
and electronic equipment, require simple skills, and
comprise globally a one trillion US dollars segment.
Resource-based industries, in the chemical and metallurgical
domains, where India has a good resource base, is globally
a 900 billion US dollars segment.
Industries such as aluminum and automobiles enjoy a
huge domestic market combined with cost advantages.
These can catapult India into the league of global
players.
These industries are valued at 3 trillion US dollars
at the global level.
Finally, there are industries that are shifting from
unidimensional manufacturing to developing complex engineered
systems.
This is becoming the hallmark of globally competitive
companies in the knowledge age.
These industries can leverage on the information technology
skill sets in India.
Keeping all these segments in mind, it should not be
difficult for India to target 2 trillion dollars of
output in twenty years on the strength of its international
competitiveness and domestic consumption.
For this, the Indian manufacturing industry has to
carefully target the export markets, focus on scale,
technology and customer needs, improve efficiency across
the supply chain and move away from controlling all
activities in the value chain.
A concrete example is the export performance of Reliance
Industries Limited in the manufacturing sector. Our
exports have grown dramatically from Rs 366 crores in
1997-98 to Rs 11,200 crores in 2001-02, thirty fold
increase in just four years.
This necessitates a synergistic partnership between
industry and government, a partnership based on mutual
trust and cooperation.
It also calls for an understanding between industry
and labour.
Finally, it requires a commitment to the consumers-to
assure them the best quality at affordable prices.
We need not write off the manufacturing sector.
In other words, I am once again pleading for recreating
the partnership of the freedom movement for making India
an economic superpower.
Only in such a conducive environment, can we find solutions
to the problems in Diverse areas such as: indirect taxes,
labor laws, bureaucracy and infrastructure.
A climate of trust would give the government the courage
to support selected sectors aggressively.
It can join hands with them to ensure that they reorient
their manufacturing skills for global economic leadership.
Infocomm
I now turn to information and communications, or infocomm.
It is my strong conviction that this is the most important
sector, given the context of the ongoing information
age.
An overarching infocomm infrastructure will prepare
India to don the mantle of leadership in knowledge intensive
businesses.
It will enable us to harness the potential of millions
of young men and women.
It will provide the knowledge workers with a platform
to develop and offer IT solutions for all professions
and institutions across the world.
It will catalyze India's formidable software talent
to develop products for the global market and realize
substantially higher value for their efforts.
The recent deregulation with unrestricted entry in
the sector is enabling India create the next generation
communication infrastructure.
It shows how the spirit of partnership between the
government and business can help us in realizing India's
potential.
I will urge that the customer must be made the third
pivot of a triangular partnership in infocomm sector.
This sector will grow rapidly only if the industry
offers to the people the benefits of technology, if
the services are of high quality at an affordable cost.
Not to do so will be extremely shortsighted.
By all projections, the number of voice lines in India
in the next five years will increase by the same quantity
as in the last fifty years.
It will cost one fourth. This will benefit consumers.
India has natural advantages in this sector that most
other countries in East Asia will never be able to match
- its huge pool of relatively low cost labor, which
is educated, technologically savvy and English-friendly
And this pool is only growing larger.
More and more Indian teenagers recognize the opportunities
in the communications and information technology-related
sectors,
The pool of talent and skill available in India is growing
by leaps and bounds.
Joint efforts in software product development and hardware
design in India can be made with great success.
India is home to 600,000 software developers, which
would grow to three in million in five years.
Today, a connected world is a reality.
In the infocomm sector, India has the potential to
power all the intellectual systems and applications
in the connected world.
Health Care and Life Sciences
Now, let us look at life sciences and health care,
which offer another great opportunity for India.
I believe that the twentieth century was the century
of physics and chemistry. The twenty first century is
the century of biology.
Today, mankind is using biotechnologies to understand,
alter and direct the function of a wide set of organic
cells - in plants, animals and humans.
It is predicted by the year 2025, gene therapies will
become available for every major conceivable disease.
Artificial assist devices will take over diseased liver
and pancreatic functions.
Individualized medicine will be developed on the basis
of each persons genetic make up.
Genetic manipulation will alter human traits. Animal
cloning will be used to produce new drugs.
Humanized transgenic animals will be reared to produce
organs for transplantation.
New vaccine technologies will be successful in treating
drug addiction.
Therapies for reducing the effects of aging will be
in vogue.
Tissue engineered organs will be available for replacement
of diseased ones.
The discovery of the code of life, or genome, written
in the sequence of four nucleotides that form the DNA,
has enabled man to discover life and design life. A
process that took nature three billion years to develop
has been re-created by human
technology in an incredibly short span of time.
Biotechnology is also moving towards decoding the library
of proteins in the body. This will enable making to
alter the very metabolism of life processes.
Biotechnology can impact every one of the 6 billion
people in the world today.
In fact every single plant and animal and every single
material that we use will be impacted by it.
Meaningful research will help us grow more out of existing
resources. It can make factories out of farms.
It will also stimulate the international economy in
a very big way.
It is estimated that the global life sciences market
will be in the order of USD 2 trillion in the next five
years.
We, at Reliance, have taken concrete measures to explore
this exciting area.
Reliance Life Sciences is developing business opportunities
in the domains of medical biotechnology, plant biotechnology,
industrial biotechnology, contract research and clinical
trials.
This initiative seeks to take cues from thousands of
years of knowledge in traditional Indian schools of
medicine.
Our researchers are trying to combine it with modern
science and technology to discover and develop drug
candidates.
Reliance is one of the ten institutions worldwide listed
by the US National Institutes of Health for work in
the area of embryonic stem cells.
Reliance is also developing a relationship with premier
US universities for shared research efforts.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
India has everything going for it in health care-competent
doctors, strong nursing skill sets, a resurgent pharmaceutical
industry, strong chemistry-based drug discovery capabilities
and a modest, but growing, breed of medical biologists.
India can provide a whole range of services, from medical
transcription to telemedicine through a modern information
and communication infrastructure.
Clinical services for aliments outside the scope of
medical insurance or for disabilities involving a long
waiting time can be performed in India in state-of-the-art
facilities.
The emergence of private corporate hospitals, with
state-of-the-art equipment, people and processes motivates
me to think in this manner.
India can grow as a leading health care provider to
the world.
MANAGING KEY ECONOMIC RESOURCES
Friends,
To be a global economic power, India faces the challenge
of managing its critical economic resources well.
I would place water and energy at the top of my first
of critical resources.
Water Resources
You cannot talk of the food and agriculture sector
without addressing the question of water resources.
Today, technology has advanced to such an extent that,
the only limiting factor to agriculture is water.
We receive about 4,000 billion cubic meters of fresh
water every year.
Of this, 3,600 billion cubic meters is through rainfall.
About half the rainfall runs off the rivers.
Of the remaining water, only 1,100 billion cubic meters
is put to productive use.
This is because of topographical constraints and the
uneven distribution of water resources over space and
time.
Water storage in dams is limited to 250 billion cubic
meters.
It is grossly insufficient. In comparison, the US has
three times this storage capacity with a comparable
flow.
Only half the storage and irrigation potential of dams
is utilized. Further only half the water from the main
sources reaches farms due to evaporation losses and
seepage.
The hydroelectric potential is grossly underutilized.
Irrigation systems are archaic and inefficient.
Water use efficiency is a third below optimum levels
in canal and ground water schemes
As a result, India is forecasted to face water scarcity
by the year 2020.
The debilitating inefficiencies in water management
must be addressed urgently.
It is also necessary that close to 110 billion US dollars
are invested in twenty years for the development of
water resources.
In brief, water should not be viewed only as a resource
necessary for sustaining agriculture.
It is also vital for building economic power.
WE need bold initiatives in this area.
We need to link all the river water basins, build a
number of large dams, price water based on its economic
value, privatize the operations and maintenance of irrigation
and water supply systems and mandate the recycling of
water.
All this may require amendments in the Constitution
of India.
In our democratic polity, this will be possible only
in an environment which is dedicated to building India
into an economic superpower.
Energy
Talking about water leads me to hydroelectric power
and, in a larger context, the energy sector.
Here again, it is a story of potential waiting to be
converted into performance.
India can easily increase its hydroelectric production
capacity seven-fold to about 40,000 MW, primarily in
the North East.
This calls for regional cooperation with Nepal and
Bhutan.
A large hydroelectric power base can lead to significant
competitive advantages for Indian industry through a
relatively lower cost of energy.
In October this year, Reliance Industries Limited announced
the largest ever gas find in India in three decades,
with in place reserves of 7 trillion cubic feet.
This is an outcome of exploring just 2,000 square kilometers
in the deep waters of the Bay of Bengal. We still have
about 175,000 square kilometers to explore.
India is a largely under explored territory in oil
and gas.
I am convinced that over the next few years this situation
will change.
Reliance as well as other companies are prospecting
for oil and gas on land and also in the shallow waters
and deep waters of India.
Reliance's historic oil field discovery should encourage
them to go ahead with confidence and optimism.
To my mind, India can easily target an output of one
trillion dollars from the energy sector in about twenty
years.
An energy self-sufficient India can alter the economic,
political and manufacturing landscape of the region.
India's quest for energy will create new economic and
strategic challenges, right from the challenge of mobilizing
capital to the subtleties of diplomacy.
India would also have to consider new projects for
linking electricity grids, building gas pipelines, promoting
regional hydroelectric stations, stockpiling oil on
a cooperative basis and pursuing nuclear energy options.
In essence, the face of energy in India is set to change,
bringing with it new opportunities for supporting the
country's bid for achieving global economic leadership.
INVESTING IN PERFORMANCE ENABLERS
Ladies and Gentleman,
Another important component in our quest for global
economic leadership for India, is the need to make significant
investments in infrastructure.
By this I mean both the physical and Intellectual infrastructure
Crtical areas in physical infrastructure are power,
transportation, communications and the financial markets.
The vital segments of the intellectual infrastructure
are: professional resource development, high quality
education and constructive research.
Infrastructure
Let me first take the physical infrastructure.
Enterprises in India have lamented the sorry state
of the physical infrastructure.
In the power sector, per capita power consumption in
India is 363 kwh.
The world average is 2,054 kwh.
Transmission and distribution losses in India are 18%
of output. The world average is 8%.
India needs bold measures in deregulation
The government should neither act as a profit guarantor
in the power sector, nor should it subsidize all users.
Companies must learn to face normal business risks
and not ask the government to provide them with shelter.
Consumers must learn to pay for the power consumed.
No doubt, there are segments of the population who
are too poor to pay the market price.
For these people, the government must announce a policy
of targeted subsidies.
In transportation, some commendable initiatives have
already been taken in the road sector, with the major
cities being linked through nation-wide networks.
We should see the results in the next few years.
However, significant investments are required in the
long neglected area of rural roads.
If capital productivity has to be improved and India
has to achieve the status of a global economic power,
India has to cover a lot of ground in infrastructure,
particularly in the power sector
Professional Resources Development
Friends,
I would like to spend a little more time on the need
to develop the intellectual infrastructure.
Because, it needs more attention than it has received
so far.
I believe the world will see two wars that will Involve
the whole of humanity.
The war for progress and the war for talent.
The have-nots will fight one.
The haves will fight the other. The two are intertwined.
While India fights the war for economic progress, it
has the unique opportunity to gain from the war for
talent by building up its professional resources.
As I said earlier, an aging population in the US. Europe
and Japan means a decline in their workforce and talent.
The US is already facing a shortage of skilled professionals.
This will be further accentuated.
Over the next 10 to 15 years, the professional workforce
shortage in the US will peak to 15 million,
Europe will see a shortfall of a million professionals
in information technology alone. Germany is already
facing a shortfall of about 200,000 engineers.
China is estimated to need upwards of 1.4 million management
graduates.
Japan, Australia, Malaysia, Singapore and New Zealand
are forecasting large shortages of professional talent.
This shortage will last at least till the middle of
this century.
Warning bells of a talent famine are ringing loud and
clear.
Far sightedness demands that India elevates the development
and management of talent to a burning priority.
With a well-thought out policy in place, India can
leverage its huge talent to attain global economic leadership.
Demography has been kind to India. India has a young
population.
Just 7% of Indians are above the age of 60.
In 25 years time, 400 million Indians will enter the
work force India will continue to be young and will
see a swelling workforce.
India has a large pool of scientific, technical and
professional talent.
Thanks to the visionary leadership of post-Independent
India, the educational and professional infrastructure
built in the past has served us well so far.
The Indian professional has proven creativity, adaptability
and a spirit of initiative.
I find it disturbing that the professional talent base
in India is limited to an elite group of 5.5 million
people.
They constitute India one percent of the workforce.
This small fraction garners most of the benefits of
economic progress.
The rest of the participants in the economy remain
on the margins. This picture must
change.
India has a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for achieving
a talent-driven economic revolution.
Even if only one million trained knowledge workers
from India are deployed to work for 2,000 hours per
year earning just 20 US dollars an hour, it would generate
a sustainable annual income of USD 40 billion
In turn, this income will have a far-reaching multiplier
effect and unleash a self-sustaining economic revolution.
India must increase its professional resource base
twenty fold - from five million to
a hundred million professionals.
In other words, India has the means to run the global
race in the knowledge age, by investing in professional
resources management.
Education
Developing professional resources on a large scale
requires significant investments in education
Education is like a cradle for global leadership because
knowledge has become the single most important economic
resource today.
India spends just 3.2% of its GDP on education.
In contrast, progressive nations are investing heavily
in education, in the range of 8% of GDP.
India's investment in education, in relation to GDP,
is lower than the world average of 4.8%
It is also below those of low-income countries, whose
average is 3.3%.
To grapple with the huge resources needed for this
sector public funding should be concentrated on school
education.
Private initiative should be encouraged in higher education,
particularly in science and technology.
Allowing the private sector to develop universities
in science and technology, would be an appropriate policy
measure in this field.
Again, a spirit of partnership must permeate the new
initiatives.
Research
In modern times, technology is the most important driver
of economic growth and development.
Progressive nations are spending significantly on scientific
research.
Sweden spends about 8 billion US dollars, which is
3.8% of its GDP, on research and tops the list. America
is next with 208 billion US dollars, which is about
2.6 % of its GDP.
In contrast, India's expenditure is very low at 3 billion
US dollars or 0.73% of its GDP.
During the period 1963 to 1998, India obtained just
700 US patents.
This is just 0.02% of the 2.8 million US patents issued.
India has already shown shades of prowess in leveraging
research in two areas - nuclear energy and space.
India has secured a place for herself in these areas
in the global club.
This has become possible because there was a mission-oriented
approach.
Integrating efforts across several institutions have
earned us impressive rewards.
A similar effort is now called for, particularly in
the areas of life sciences, materials sciences, ocean
engineering, aerospace and nanotechnology.
ACCESSING THE GLOBAL SAVINGS POOL
Ladies and Gentlemen.
All those who love our country and aspire that India
must become a major economic power, need to look afresh
at this issue.
So far, India has depended substantially on domestic
savings.
The scale of investment needed to make India into an
economic superpower cannot be achieved by persisting
on that route.
And why should we? The riches of the world have resulted
from the transfer of wealth from poor colonies
The latter now have a legitimate right to ensure that
at least a part of it flows back.
We must not be apprehensive of foreign investment.
Or the contrary, India must compete for a sizeable
chunk of foreign direct investments without any sense
of guilt or fear.
The world saves and invests about 7 trillion US dollars.
About 300 billion US dollars out of this flows as foreign
direct investments or FDI.
India has, on an average, attracted FDI of only 2.6
billion US dollars per annum in recent years.
Other emerging markets such as China, Brazil, Poland
and Malaysia, have attracted much more and have benefited
by higher GDP growth.
Their FDI as a percentage of GDP is in the 3 to 6 %
range, while for India it is just 0.5%.
India can easily achieve fifteen times its current
FDI and attract 30 billion US dollars each year, if
appropriate policy measures are taken.
This can help in Improving the GDP growth rate by 2%
each year.
An incremental mindset to achieving 30 billion US dollars
in foreign investment will think in terms of creating
a supportive policy regime that is devoid of red tape
and removes excessive controls on investment and operations.
This is no doubt important.
But I come from a far-reaching mindset on this Issue.
To my mind, the only way India can attract large amounts
from the global savings pool is to create a very high
rate of economic growth.
This will be evident if you carefully study the pattern
of flow of foreign investment. I strongly believe in
the adage 'money chases money'.
Therefore, the best way to attract very high amounts
of foreign investments is to target and achieve very
high economic growth rates.
To create a New World mindset
.
India cannot hope to attain global leadership with an
archaic mindset.
We are in a world where the rules of survival and progress
are changing.
The pervasive impact of technology and the movement
towards a barrier-free global marketplace are giving
a new meaning to the Darwinian concept of adaptation.
The basic instincts of survival transcend the biological
to reach the intellectual.
The aphorism - survival of the fittest - applies not
just to citizens but also to companies, communities
and countries.
Citizens have to relate to an explosion of new knowledge
that continuously challenges their ability to add economic
value to enterprises.
This demands constant efforts to differentiate oneself
from others; through a process of perpetual renewal
and creativity.
Companies have to factor in market dynamics founded
on a new paradigm of constant change,
This calls for an ability to deal with continuous uncertainty
by maintaining a ceaseless state of transformation driven
by market dictates
Communities have to provide latitude to new forms of
social organisations based on knowledge networks.
This requires placing knowledge and technology at the
core of social values as well as an accommodation of
borderless virtual societies bonded by shared professional.
relational, ethnic, religious, political, environmental
and moral values.
Countries have to wake up to new concepts created by
full and ubiquitous connectivity and globally foot-loose
talent.
This requires a strong national commitment, cutting
across partisan divisions.
It also requires faith in the patriotism of our entrepreneurs
and professionals.
We must have an unflinching commitment to making India
a great power within our lifetime.
A commitment, which will guarantee that our children
and grandchildren will never have to suffer the ignominy
of subjugation and deprivation.
India has also not fully harnessed the high rate of
domestic household savings, which is about 23% of GDP.
This is because the financial intermediation system
is costly and inefficient.
Delicencing of the financial sector and better regulation
will reduce the cost of financial intermediation from
4 to 5 % to 2%, which is the global norm.
A national consensus is also needed to prune large-scale
government deficits.
This raises sovereign risk profiles and scares away
foreign investors.
This can be achieved by specifically targeting government
expenditure to be based On the larger public benefit.
In summary, India has to access global savings through
FDI, fully harness domestic savings and find the right
channels to invest in areas that support global leadership.
CHEATING A NEW WORLD MINDSET
Friends,
Let me now turn to the last but perhaps the most important
task before us.
This is to prepare an attitudinal revolution.
This requires an acceptance of cross border employment
and trade and inclusive political models based on the
new norms of the knowledge age.
Adapting to the knowledge explosion, living with continuous
uncertainty, relating to knowledge networks and dealing
with talent requires the nurturing of one major resource:
the human brain.
We are in an age where knowledge is the fundamental
source of wealth, power and progress.
Therefore, success will come to those who have the
capacity to conceptualise, the competence to implement
and the competitiveness to stay ahead.
The new world will unrelentingly question the conventional
in virtually every discipline.
Indian polity and society must move beyond the sanctuary
of comfort zones to support new systems and structures
built around new discoveries, experimentation. creativity,
adventure and research.
The Indian psyche must be attuned to work in a collaborative
framework.
Nothing should be allowed to come in the way of productive
partnership.
This is in tune with the needs of a networked society.
In a globally networked society, partnership will be
a way of life: from outsourcing and strategic alliances
in business to fighting communicable diseases and terrorism
across borders.
Individuals and organisations in India have to downsize
self-opinionated behaviour to succeed in an environment
of sharing resources and mutually reinforcing skills.
In essence, the Indian mindset must be trained to break
free from the colonial past. Indian mind must rediscover
its hidden potential to innovate, create and collaborate.
RELIANCE AND GLOBAL ECONOMIC LEADERSHIP
Before I conclude, I would like to present Reliance
in the context of Indias quest for global economic
leadership.
Starting from scratch, my father, Shri Dhirubhai Ambani,
build Reliance into the largest private sector enterprise
in India.
He placed Reliance firmly in the pantheon of the 500
largest corporations in the world; all in about two
decades.
Reliance achieved a blistering pace of growth, in the
35 to 40% range, year on year.
This became possible because my father was gifted with
the foresight to anticipate the nature and direction
of opportunities in the marketplace.
He motivated his people to come up with winning strategies.
As a result, Reliance attained global leadership in
the petrochemicals domain.
Reliance is the worlds second largest polyester
producer and the worlds 11th largest producer
of polymers.
Reliance also operates the 5th largest petroleum refinery
in the world.
Today, Reliance is addressing new opportunities to
attain global leadership, based on capacity, competitiveness
and competency.
First, by significantly investing in oil and gas.
Reliance recently discovered the largest gas find in
he world this year in the Bay of Bengal.
We believe that this is only a fraction of the Countrys
potential.
Through this initiative, Reliance envisages better
energy security for India, leading to stronger economic
security and, in turn, national security.
Second, Reliance is engaged in bridging the economic
opportunities in the developed world with the talent
base available in India, through Reliance infocomm overarching
infocomm infrastructure and services.
This is a tribute by the Reliance people to their respected
founder.
It will prepare Reliance for taking on the mantle of
leadership in knowledge intensive businesses.
It will make Reliance Infocomm a powerful vehicle for
India to attain knowledge leadership in the world.
Third, our initiative in Life Sciences, which I spoke
about earlier.
Finally, Reliance is engaged in building a professional
resource base among the youth of India on an unprecedented
scale.
This is being done by employing 45,000 people with
diverse skill sets and competencies and building institutions
for higher education in technology.
For Reliance, attaining global leadership in all its
initiatives is not only an aspiration, but also a dream.
A dream rooted in reality and resolve.
As my father, Shri Dhirubhai Ambani, kept reiterating,
We must dare to dream.
He dreamed of India as an economic super power and
motivated the entire Reliance team to work towards this
goal.
COLCLUSION
Ladies and Gentlemen,
In conclusion, I would strongly advocate that India
needs a bold new vision and a feasible action plan to
be a global economic superpower.
A vision and an action plan that is regenerative. That
revives, renews and revs up the country.
India has to focus on targeting a top line GDP of 9
trillion US dollars in twenty years.
India has to harness global opportunities in the food
and agriculture, manufacturing, infocomm, health care
sectors.
India has to manage its water and energy resources
judiciously.
India has to make significant investments in infrastructure,
professional resources development, education and research.
Finally, Indian society must foster competitiveness,
proactive government and strong leadership abilities.
As a country, as communities, as corporates, institutions
and individuals, our convictions must be rooted in the
belief that we can take on the world.
Therefore, we must internalize values that benchmark
with the world.
We must adapt and adopt new practices that embrace
the world.
I believe we can do it.
Talking of taking on the world, I am reminded of the
encounter between communication specialists from America,
Europe and India.
The American boasted that 100 years ago if you had
dug 100 meters into the ground in America, you would
have found optic fiber cables, because Americans pioneered
them.
The European countered that 100 years ago, if you dug
1,000 meters into the earth in Europe, you would have
found copper cables, because Europeans pioneered copper
cables.
The Indian thought hard. He told the others that 10,000
years ago, if you dug 10,000 meters into the earth in
India, you would not have found anything. Why? The others
asked. We were already using wireless system those days
he said.
There is probably an element of truth in this joke.
We have enjoyed global leadership in the past.
We led the world in thought, word and deed. We had
the worlds first university at Takshashila in
700 BC.
We had a global university in Nalanda in the 4th century.
We were far ahead of other civilizations in medicine
and surgery 2,500 years ago.
We led the world in astronomy and mathematics.
We showed the world how to navigate.
We created footprints across the world through merchandise
and trade.
Our textile industry was a world leader in the 17th
and 18th centuries.
Above all, we were a global economic power at the turn
of the eighteenth century, contributing to a quarter
of the global output.
We must seek inspiration from our past, stride opportunities
of the present and secure a glorious future-as a superpower
in the global economic order.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
India looks up to her leaders in all walks of life
to join hands in a historic partnership on the same
pattern as our freedom struggle.
This spirit must become all pervasive in politics,
administration, business, industry, science, technology
and other professions.
In the 20th Century, it enabled us to break the chains
of slavery.
In the 21st century, it will give us the strength to
scale great economic heights.
Let us forge a partnership of men and women who govern,
who think, who produce wealth and those who labour.
Such a creative partnership will unleash the vast latent
energies of our 1 billion people.
It will enable them scale the highest peak to make
India an economic superpower.
And ladies and gentlemen,
I believe, FICCI, can be the nodal point for forging
this historic partnership.
I am sure we will succeed and will do India proud.
Thank you.
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